Premier League trends
Results that have already happened: each page lists what it counts, and every figure shows how many matches it's based on.
Premier League · 2026–27
21 Aug 2026 to 20 Sept 2026 · 50 matches · last season 380
What's counted
- League matches only: cups, play-offs and friendlies are left out.
- Favourites are judged on the closing average price across bookmakers.
- Numbers resting on fewer than 10 matches aren't shown.
Unusual lately
- Over 8.5 corners (corners): 48% in 2026–27 (50 matches) vs 66% in 2025–26 (380)
- Shots per match (shots and xg): 27.8 in 2026–27 (50 matches) vs 25.0 in 2025–26 (380)
Goals
| 2026–27 so far | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 2.8250 matches | 2.75380 matches |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72%50 matches | 79%380 matches |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52%50 matches | 55%380 matches |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34%50 matches | 28%380 matches |
| Over 4.5 goals | 20%50 matches | 13%380 matches |
| Both teams scored | 50%50 matches | 56%380 matches |
| Goalless (0-0) | 10%50 matches | 7%380 matches |
| Home team goals | 1.5250 matches | 1.53380 matches |
| Away team goals | 1.3050 matches | 1.22380 matches |
Results
| 2026–27 so far | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|
| Home wins | 36%50 matches | 43%380 matches |
| Draws | 32%50 matches | 27%380 matches |
| Away wins | 32%50 matches | 30%380 matches |
| Decided by one goal | 38%50 matches | 38%380 matches |
| Won by two or more | 30%50 matches | 35%380 matches |
| Winner kept a clean sheet | 59%34 matches | 51%276 matches |
Favourites
favourite = shorter of the home and away closing prices (average across bookmakers)
| 2026–27 so far | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|
| Favourite won | 46%50 matches | 50%380 matches |
| Favourite drew | 32%50 matches | 27%380 matches |
| Favourite lost | 22%50 matches | 23%380 matches |
| Strong favourite (1.60 or shorter) won | 64%11 matches | 67%102 matches |
| Home favourite won | 46%33 matches | 53%237 matches |
| Away favourite won | 47%17 matches | 43%143 matches |
| Favourite won by two or more | 24%50 matches | 27%380 matches |
| Average favourite price | 1.8850 matches | 1.91380 matches |
Half-time
| 2026–27 so far | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|
| Level at half-time | 46%50 matches | 38%380 matches |
| A goal before half-time | 62%50 matches | 72%380 matches |
| Half-time leader went on to win | 67%27 matches | 73%236 matches |
| First-half goals per match | 1.2650 matches | 1.19380 matches |
| Second-half goals per match | 1.5650 matches | 1.56380 matches |
| More goals after half-time than before | 42%50 matches | 46%380 matches |
| A goal in both halves | 52%50 matches | 58%380 matches |
| Half-time leader failed to win | 33%27 matches | 27%236 matches |
Corners
| 2026–27 so far | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per match | 9.450 matches | 10.0380 matches |
| Over 8.5 cornersunusually low | 48%50 matches | 66%380 matches |
| Over 9.5 corners | 44%50 matches | 56%380 matches |
| Over 10.5 corners | 36%50 matches | 44%380 matches |
| Home team corners | 4.950 matches | 5.4380 matches |
| Away team corners | 4.450 matches | 4.6380 matches |
| Side with more corners won | 36%31 matches | 48%239 matches |
Cards
yellow and red cards as recorded per match
| 2026–27 so far | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per match | 3.950 matches | 3.9380 matches |
| Over 3.5 cards | 54%50 matches | 56%380 matches |
| Over 4.5 cards | 38%50 matches | 37%380 matches |
| Over 5.5 cards | 20%50 matches | 20%380 matches |
| Home team cards | 1.850 matches | 1.7380 matches |
| Away team cards | 2.150 matches | 2.1380 matches |
| A red card shown | 12%50 matches | 9%380 matches |
Shots and xG
| 2026–27 so far | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|
| Shots per matchunusually high | 27.850 matches | 25.0380 matches |
| Shots on target per match | 8.750 matches | 8.4380 matches |
| Side with more shots won | 61%33 matches | 59%261 matches |
| xG per match | 3.0150 matches | – |
| Goals minus xG per match | -0.1950 matches | – |
Most common scores
either side winning (2-1 includes 1-2) · of 50 matches
| Times | Share | Home won | Away won | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 9 | 18% | 3 | 6 |
| 2-2 draw | 6 | 12% | – | – |
| 0-0 draw | 5 | 10% | – | – |
| 1-1 draw | 5 | 10% | – | – |
| 2-0 | 5 | 10% | 2 | 3 |
| 2-1 | 5 | 10% | 4 | 1 |
| 3-0 | 4 | 8% | 4 | 0 |
| 3-2 | 4 | 8% | 0 | 4 |
Biggest wins
largest winning margins this season
| Date | Score | Margin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City v Brighton & Hove Albion | 13 Sept | 0-5 | 5 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston Villa | 23 Aug | 4-0 | 4 |
| Manchester United v Ipswich Town | 30 Aug | 5-2 | 3 |
| Leeds United v Newcastle United | 14 Sept | 4-1 | 3 |
| Crystal Palace v Manchester City | 28 Aug | 1-4 | 3 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Arsenal | 19 Sept | 3-0 | 3 |
Most goals in a match
this season
| Date | Score | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City v Sunderland | 20 Sept | 5-3 | 8 |
| Manchester United v Ipswich Town | 30 Aug | 5-2 | 7 |
| Chelsea v Brighton & Hove Albion | 30 Aug | 4-3 | 7 |
| Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa | 19 Sept | 2-3 | 5 |
| Leeds United v Newcastle United | 14 Sept | 4-1 | 5 |
| Coventry City v Brighton & Hove Albion | 13 Sept | 0-5 | 5 |
Favourites: prices vs what happened
closing average price of the favourite · implied chance has the bookmaker margin removed · a band needs 10+ matches
| Matches | Prices implied | Actually won | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.40 or shorter | 6 | – | – | – |
| 1.41 to 1.70 | 13 | 60% | 54% | -6 pts |
| 1.71 to 2.10 | 15 | 49% | 40% | -9 pts |
| Longer than 2.10 | 16 | 41% | 38% | -4 pts |
Streaks right now
runs in the matches counted above, 4 or more
- 5AFC BournemouthWithout a win in 5 straight
- 5AFC BournemouthConceded in 5 straight
- 5BrentfordUnbeaten in 5 straight
- 5BrentfordScored in 5 straight
- 5Brighton & Hove AlbionScored in 5 straight
- 5ChelseaConceded in 5 straight
- 5ChelseaOver 2.5 goals in 5 straight
- 5EvertonUnbeaten in 5 straight
- 5FulhamWithout a win in 5 straight
- 5Ipswich TownConceded in 5 straight
- 5Leeds UnitedUnbeaten in 5 straight
- 5LiverpoolUnbeaten in 5 straight
- 5Manchester CityWon in 5 straight
- 5Manchester CityScored in 5 straight
- 5Manchester UnitedConceded in 5 straight
- 5Newcastle UnitedScored in 5 straight
- 5Tottenham HotspurWithout a win in 5 straight
Team by team
2026–27 · the matches counted above · tap a column to sort · per-match averages
| Home | Away | Last 5 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 5 | 5-0-0 | 2.60 | 1.00 | 60% | 60% | 40% | 0% | 6.2 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 2.12 | 1.45 | 3-0-0 | 2-0-0 | WWWWW |
| Arsenal | 5 | 4-0-1 | 1.60 | 0.80 | 60% | 20% | 60% | 20% | 5.0 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 1.70 | 0.80 | 2-0-0 | 2-0-1 | LWWWW |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 5 | 3-1-1 | 3.20 | 1.00 | 80% | 40% | 60% | 0% | 5.4 | 4.6 | 2.4 | 2.30 | 1.74 | 2-1-0 | 1-0-1 | WWDLW |
| Brentford | 5 | 2-3-0 | 2.00 | 0.80 | 60% | 60% | 40% | 0% | 4.4 | 5.0 | 2.2 | 1.96 | 1.26 | 2-1-0 | 0-2-0 | WDDDW |
| Everton | 5 | 2-3-0 | 1.20 | 0.60 | 20% | 40% | 60% | 20% | 5.0 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 1.46 | 1.39 | 2-1-0 | 0-2-0 | WDDDW |
| Leeds United | 5 | 2-3-0 | 1.40 | 0.60 | 20% | 60% | 40% | 20% | 4.4 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 1.52 | 1.27 | 1-2-0 | 1-1-0 | DWDDW |
| Liverpool | 5 | 2-3-0 | 1.40 | 0.80 | 40% | 40% | 60% | 20% | 4.0 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 1.67 | 1.22 | 0-2-0 | 2-1-0 | WDWDD |
| Hull City | 5 | 2-2-1 | 1.20 | 0.80 | 40% | 40% | 60% | 20% | 3.4 | 6.0 | 3.4 | 1.06 | 1.48 | 1-1-0 | 1-1-1 | LDDWW |
| Newcastle United | 5 | 2-2-1 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 80% | 80% | 20% | 0% | 4.4 | 6.0 | 2.4 | 1.06 | 1.78 | 1-2-0 | 1-0-1 | WLDWD |
| Chelsea | 5 | 2-1-2 | 2.00 | 2.40 | 100% | 80% | 0% | 20% | 6.6 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 1.35 | 1.77 | 1-1-0 | 1-0-2 | LDLWW |
| Ipswich Town | 5 | 2-0-3 | 1.40 | 2.20 | 60% | 60% | 0% | 40% | 3.6 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 1.54 | 1.75 | 1-0-1 | 1-0-2 | LWLLW |
| Manchester United | 5 | 1-2-2 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 40% | 60% | 0% | 40% | 7.2 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 1.94 | 1.35 | 1-0-1 | 0-2-1 | DLDWL |
| Nottingham Forest | 5 | 1-2-2 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 40% | 40% | 20% | 60% | 3.4 | 4.6 | 2.6 | 1.45 | 0.96 | 0-1-2 | 1-1-0 | LWDDL |
| Aston Villa | 5 | 1-1-3 | 0.80 | 1.80 | 60% | 40% | 20% | 60% | 3.0 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 0.90 | 1.85 | 0-0-2 | 1-1-1 | WLDLL |
| Crystal Palace | 5 | 1-1-3 | 1.20 | 2.20 | 60% | 60% | 20% | 40% | 2.4 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 1.25 | 1.89 | 0-0-2 | 1-1-1 | DLWLL |
| Sunderland | 5 | 1-1-3 | 1.20 | 2.00 | 40% | 60% | 20% | 20% | 4.0 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 1.95 | 1.73 | 1-0-1 | 0-1-2 | LLDWL |
| AFC Bournemouth | 5 | 0-3-2 | 1.20 | 1.60 | 60% | 80% | 0% | 20% | 4.2 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 1.34 | 1.41 | 0-2-1 | 0-1-1 | LDDDL |
| Coventry City | 5 | 1-0-4 | 0.20 | 2.00 | 40% | 0% | 20% | 80% | 4.0 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 0.97 | 1.73 | 0-0-2 | 1-0-2 | WLLLL |
| Fulham | 5 | 0-2-3 | 1.00 | 1.60 | 40% | 60% | 20% | 40% | 5.6 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 1.55 | 1.71 | 0-1-2 | 0-1-1 | DDLLL |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 5 | 0-2-3 | 0.40 | 1.60 | 40% | 20% | 40% | 80% | 7.6 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 0.99 | 1.56 | 0-1-2 | 0-1-1 | LDDLL |
What has happened, not a prediction: a run can end at any time. Every number shows how many matches it's based on. “Unusual” means the last 6 rounds (or, with no recent window, this season) differ clearly from the rest of the season or from last season: at least two standard errors, with 20+ matches on each side.